For the first time in years, the Yankees and Red Sox will play a massive series late in the MLB regular season.
The suddenly surging Yanks have a tenuous grip on the top wild-card spot in the American League, but the Red Sox are just 1.5 games behind the Bombers.
Both teams are keeping an eye on the Kansas City Royals, who are the last team out at the moment.
The Yankees have also clawed their way within four games of the Toronto Blue Jays in the race for first place in the AL East.
The stakes could hardly be higher at this time of year, which should lead to a raucous atmosphere at Yankee Stadium on Thursday night.
Yankees vs. Red Sox odds, predictions
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | +125 | Over 8 (-120) |
| Yankees | -150 | Under 8 (+100) |
Winners of five straight, the Yankees are firing on all cylinders right now but the offense is driving the bus.
The Bombers have scored a ridiculous 43 runs over their last five games, and now boast the best run differential in the American League at plus-111.
The offense will come back down to earth, but they should be in a good position to keep rolling Thursday night against Lucas Giolito.
On the surface, the veteran right-hander looks to be having a strong season with an 8-2 record to go along with a 3.63 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 106 2/3 innings.
Under the hood, things are not as rosy for the 31-year-old.
Giolito’s 5.27 xERA is nearly two runs higher than his actual number, and his xFIP currently sits at 4.39. He ranks in the 31st percentile in strikeout rate, 22nd percentile in barrel percentage and 15th percentile in average exit velocity among qualified pitchers.
Betting on Baseball?
Giolito has been bailed out by a .274 BABIP.
The Yankees will counter with Luis Gil, who owns a 5.14 ERA in 14 1/3 innings since returning to action.
The 2024 AL Rookie of the Year was better in his last outing, allowing just one run on four hits and three walks in 5 1/3 innings against the Cardinals, but he’s struggling to limit free passes, which is to be expected after such a lengthy absence.
Gil should continue to improve, especially with Boston’s offense scuffling, but the price on the Yankee moneyline seems a bit lofty.
Instead, we’ll back the red-hot offense to touch up Giolito and soar Over their team total.
The Play: Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (+100, bet365)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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