The Eagles head to Tampa as 3-point road favorites, but their 3-0 record masks deeper issues under the hood.
Philadelphia ranks No. 27 overall in Net Yards per Play and has relied heavily on second-half rallies to survive inferior opponents.
Tampa Bay, also 3-0, enters with a top-five offense in EPA/play and a defense specifically built to neutralize Philly’s run-heavy identity.
This line hasn’t moved much all week, which suggests sharp bettors are respecting Tampa’s defensive front and early-season resilience.
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What our Post expert thinks about Buccaneers vs. Eagles
This is a clash of offensive identity versus defensive strength: the Eagles lead the NFL in run rate (54.1%), while the Bucs rank No. 1 in Rush EPA allowed.
That forces Jalen Hurts into a less comfortable script — especially given that Philly ranks No. 29 in passing yards.
Baker Mayfield is quietly directing one of the league’s most efficient offenses, and Tampa has covered in two of its first three games while playing from behind in all of them.
If this turns into a passing game, the Bucs may have the edge as Philly’s banged-up O-line hasn’t protected Hurts well.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
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